The drone stack is being rebuilt around the layers beneath the aircraft
A new push is targeting the control, positioning, and communications layers that sit beneath drones, where system integration, infrastructure, and supply-chain depth have long shaped the market.
The drone stack is being rebuilt from lower down
HYFIX raised $15 million in April to build a U.S.-made autonomy chip for drones and robots. The company says its system-on-chip combines flight control, high-precision positioning, secure communications, and onboard compute in a single package, supports ROS 2, ArduPilot, and PX4, and is designed for GPS-degraded or spoofed environments. The product is aimed at a part of the autonomy stack that is still often assembled from separate flight controllers, GNSS modules, radios, and compute units, with the integration overhead, weight, power draw, and failure points that follow from that architecture.
Source: Hyfix
The scale of the market leaves room for that layer to matter in its own right. Grand View Research estimates the commercial drone market at $30.02 billion in 2024, $33.04 billion in 2025, and $54.64 billion by 2030, implying a 10.6 percent compound annual growth rate from 2025 through 2030. Asia Pacific accounted for 30.8 percent of the market in 2024. Beyond visual line of sight operations are expected to be the fastest-growing operating-range segment, with growth above 11.2 percent over the forecast period. As commercial operations become more demanding, more of the value shifts into navigation, communications, positioning, and control layers rather than the airframe alone.
Currently the market is still shaped heavily by DJI. SCSP estimates that DJI holds more than 90 percent of the global consumer drone market, nearly 70 percent of the overall drone sector, and close to 80 percent of the U.S. commercial segment. The same report says DJI products account for 70 to 90 percent of drones used across U.S. commercial, government, and consumer applications. DJI’s position was built through integrated manufacturing, supplier access, and system control across the stack rather than through the aircraft alone.
The dependency also runs upstream of any single finished product. RUSI argues that attempts to build sovereign drone capacity continue to run into Chinese strength across the component and materials base, including semiconductors, permanent magnets, sensors, and other critical inputs. Replacing a finished drone is one challenge. Replacing the industrial depth behind motors, batteries, electronics, and sensing systems is another, and it is the harder of the two over any short time horizon.
Recent U.S. policy has increased pressure on future supply without resetting the installed base. The FCC added certain foreign-produced uncrewed aircraft systems and critical components to the Covered List on December 22, 2025, then updated the rules on January 7, 2026 to exempt limited categories including systems on the Blue UAS Cleared List and some domestic end products. The immediate effect is to tighten the path for new market entry and future procurement. It does not remove the fleets, dependencies, and installed workflows already in the field.
Positioning is one of the clearest examples of why those dependencies matter. Standard GPS is sufficient for coarse navigation, but inspection, mapping, surveying, autonomous landing, and coordinated robotic operations require tighter repeatability. RTK uses correction data from ground reference stations to reduce meter-level drift to centimeter-level positioning. That changes not only accuracy in a single flight, but repeatability across missions and the reliability of systems operating in more complex commercial environments.
This is where the relationship between HYFIX and GEODNET becomes strategically relevant. The two projects are closely tied through Mike Horton and are better understood as interconnected parts of the same stack logic than as separate adjacent efforts. HYFIX is building device-side silicon that integrates control, compute, communications, and positioning functions more tightly at the hardware level. GEODNET is building the RTK network layer that supports precision positioning outside the device. Based on the current figures pulled from GEODNET sources, the network stands at 21,288 stations across 159 countries, 297,600.055 GB of RTK usage, and $9.24 million in annual recurring revenue.
HYFIX and GEODNET reflect a more serious attempt to rebuild part of the drone stack from below. HYFIX is pushing more of the machine-side core into silicon, while GEODNET provides the external positioning layer beneath it. In a market where DJI’s advantage came from industrial depth, supplier access, and tight control across the stack, that is a more credible line of attack than launching another airframe into an already crowded field.
The open question is whether tighter domestic integration can translate into market share rather than technical differentiation alone. That will depend on manufacturing scale, system reliability and the ability to win design slots against deep incumbent supply chains.